党的十九届五中全会提出“形成强大国内市场,构建新发展格局”,强调“要畅通国内大循环,促进国内国际双循环,全面促进消费,拓展投资空间”。正确全面认识新发展格局,是理解“十四五”规划和二〇三五年远景目标的关键所在。十九届五中全会审议通过的《中共中央关于制定国民经济和社会发展第十四个五年规划和二〇三五年远景目标的建议》强调,坚持扩大内需这个战略基点,畅通国内大循环,促进国内国际双循环。这意味着,在构建以国内大循环为主体、国内国际双循环相互促进的新发展格局的过程中,内需扩大和国内大循环畅通既是经济发展政策的出发点,也是目的;加快形成新发展格局,绝非应对特定冲击下的短期选择,而是虎扑足球国经济发展模式变革的内在要求;能否畅通国内大循环,也是影响到能否实现高水平对外开放以及国内国际双循环能否相互促进的关键所在。
一
虎扑足球 QIANGDIAOGOUJIANYIGUONEIDAXUNHUANWEIZHUTI、GUONEIGUOJISHUANGXUNHUANXIANGHUCUJINDEXINFAZHANGEJU,JUYOULISHIDEBIRANXING。GAIGEKAIFANGYILAI,TEBIESHIJIARUSHIJIEMAOYIZUZHIYILAI,HUPUZUQIUGUOZHUBURONGRUBINGCHONGFENLIYONGGUOJIFENGONGDAILAIDEJIYU,XINGCHENGLESHICHANGHEZIYUAN“LIANGTOUZAIWAI”DEFAZHANMOSHI,DUITISHENGHUPUZUQIUGUOSHENGCHANNENGLI、JISHUNENGLIHEGUANLISHUIPINGQIDAOLEJIJIERZHONGYAODEZUOYONG。GUOJIDAXUNHUANSUOYUNHANDEWAIBUXUQIU,YOUXIAOLADONGLEZHONGGUODEJINGJIZENGZHANG。DAN2008NIANGUOJIJINRONGWEIJIZHIHOU,GUOJIJINGJIRIYIDIMI,ZENGSUFANGHUAN,GUOJIDAXUNHUANDEDONGNENGJIANRUO,ZHONGGUOJINGCHANGXIANGMUSHUNCHAZHANGDPDEBIZHONGYOU2007NIANFENGZHIDEDAYUE10%XIAJIANGDAO2019NIANDE1%ZUOYOU,WAIMAOYICUNDUCONG2006NIANDE64.5%XIAJIANGDAO2019NIANDE35.7%,JINGCHUKOUZHANGDPDEBIZHONGCONG2007NIANDE8.6%XIAJIANGDAO2018NIANDE0.85%。YUCITONGSHI,HUPUZUQIUGUONEIXUQIANLIBUDUANSHIFANG,YOUXIAOFEIXUQIUHETOUZIXUQIUGOUCHENGDENEIXUDUIGDPZENGZHANGDEGONGXIANLVYIDA89%,QIZHONGZUIZHONGXIAOFEIDUIGDPZENGZHANGDEGONGXIANLVYIJINGCONG2010NIANDE37.3%SHANGSHENGDAO2019NIANDE57.8%,JINGJIZENGZHANGYIGUONEIXUQIUWEIZHUDAOYICHENGWEIHUPUZUQIUGUOJINGJIFAZHANDEKEGUANSHISHI。
虎扑足球 ZAINEIXUZUOYONGZHUBUTUXIANDESHIHOU,ZHISUOYIFANFUQIANGDIAOCHANGTONGGUONEIDAXUNHUAN、CUJINGUONEIGUOJISHUANGXUNHUAN,SHIYINWEIDANGQIANDENEIXUWEIZHUTIBUJINZAIGUIMOSHANGYOUDAIJINYIBUKUODA,ERQIEZAIJIEGOUSHANGYEYOUDAIJINYIBUYOUHUA,ZHILIANGSHANGHAIXUYAOJINYIBUTIGAO,DUIZHONGGUOJINGJICHIXUPINGWENZENGZHANGDEQIANLIHAIMEIYOUCHONGFENSHIFANGCHULAI。2008NIANGUOJIJINRONGWEIJIYIHOU,ZHONGGUOJINGJIZAICONGWAIXULADONGWEIZHUDAONEIXULADONGWEIZHUDEZHUANXINGGUOCHENGZHONG,NEIXULADONGZHUYAOLAIZITOUZIQUDONG,JUMINXIAOFEIGONGXIANSUIRANYOUSUOZENGZHANG,DANSUDUZAIFANGHUAN。SHUJUBIAOMING,HUPUZUQIUGUOSHEHUIXIAOFEIPINLINGSHOUZONGEZENGSUYICONG2010NIANDE18%ZUOYOUXIAHUADAO2019NIANDE8%ZUOYOU,YUCITONGSHI,JUMINBUMENGANGGANLVSHANGSHENGJIAOKUAI,QIEJIATINGZHAIWUDUIXIAOFEIYIXINGCHENGLEJICHUXIAOYING。YINCI,ZHEIZHONGNEIXULADONGJIXUZAIZHILIANG、JIEGOUHEKECHIXUXINGFANGMIANSHIXIANJINYIBUDEGAIJIN。
ZAIYOUHUANEIXUJIEGOUDEGUOCHENGZHONG,FANGDICHANYAOJIANDINGBUYIGUANCHE“FANGZHUBUCHAO”YUANZE,ZAIBAOZHANGGANGXUDETONGSHI,BIMIANGUOGAODEZHUFANGZHICHUDUIJUMINXIAOFEIZAOCHENGJIYA,YANKONGXITONGXINGJINRONGFENGXIAN。JICHUSHESHITOUZIRENGJUYOUGUANGKUOKONGJIAN,RUXINJIJIAN、LUOHOUDIQUJICHUSHESHIHUPUZUQIU、PENGHUQUGAIZAODENG,DANZHENGFUTOUZIGENGYINGCEZHONGYUYOUHUAGONGJIJIEGOUDEGUANJIANLINGYU,FAHUISILIANGBOQIANJINDEDAIDONGXIAOYING,JILISHICHANGZHUTIDEZIFAXINGTOUZI。ZHENGFUBUMENSHIDANGZENGJIAGONGGONGXIAOFEI,YEYINGZHELIYUBUQIGONGGONGHUPUZUQIUDUANBAN,DAIDONGJUMINXIAOFEI。YOUQIYAOJIAQIANGDUILIANGLEIXUQIUDETIGAOYUGAISHAN:
YISHITONGGUOSHENHUAFENGONGSHUIPING,QIANGHUACHANYEXIETONG,TISHENGSHENGCHANXINGXUQIU,QIYIYIBUJINZAIYUTIGONGZENGZHANGDONGLI,GENGZAIYUTIGAOHUPUZUQIUGUOCHANYELIANXIANDAIHUASHUIPING、CUJINJIAZHILIANXIANGGAODUANPANSHENG、TISHENGLAODONGSHENGCHANLV;ERSHITONGGUOJUMINKEZHIPEISHOURUDETIGAO,CUJINXIAOFEIXUQIUZENGZHANG,BAOKUOTISHENGCHUANTONGXIAOFEI、PEIYUXINXINGXIAOFEI,QIYIYIYEBUJINZAIYUTIGONGZENGZHANGDONGLIYUAN,GENGZAIYUGENGHAO“MANZURENMINMEIHAOSHENGHUOXUYAO”。
二
虎扑足球 CONGSHIJIEGEGUOJINGJIFAZHANDELISHIHEJINGJIFAZHANDENEIZAIGUILVKAN,CHAODAGUIMOJINGJITIDEJINGJIZENGZHANGCONGWAIXULADONGWEIZHUZHUANXIANGNEIXULADONGWEIZHU,JIYOUBIYAO,YEWANQUANKENENG。YIBANERYAN,JIAOXIAODEJINGJITIJISHIZAIJINRUFADAGUOJIASHUIPINGZHIHOU,JINGJIRENGHUIZHANGQIBAOCHIZHEJIAOGAODEWAIMAOYICUNDU,RUXINJIAPO、HELAN、FENLANDENGGUOJIA,JINNIANLAIDEWAIMAOYICUNDUFENBIEWEI319%、154%HE56.1%。JIAOXIAODEJINGJITIZHISUOYISHIZHONGCUNZAIJIAOGAODEWAIMAOYICUNDU,SHIYINWEIQIGUONEISHICHANGGUIMOZHIYUELENEIXUTUOZHANDEKENENGXING,WULUNSHIQIYEDESHENGCHANXINGXUQIU,HAISHIJUMINDEXIAOFEIXINGZHICHU,DOUSHOUDAOGUIMOXIANZHI,YINCIHENNANTONGGUOGUONEIXUQIUTIGONGZUGOUDEZENGZHANGDONGLI。DANDADEJINGJITI,RUMEIGUO、RIBENDENGGUO,WAIMAOYICUNDUZHANGQIDOUZAI20%ZUOYOU。XIANGZHONGGUOZHEIYANGDEJINGJIDAGUO,JUYOUSHIJIESHANGZUIWEIWANZHENGDEGONGYESHENGCHANMENLEIHEJUEDUIGUIMOZUIDADEZHONGDENGSHOURUQUNTI,GUONEIGECHANYEBUMENZHIJIANDEXIANGHUXUQIUHEJUMINXIAOFEISHENGJIDOUJUYOUJIWEIGUANGKUODETUOZHANKONGJIAN。RUGUOSHIZHONGYIWAIXULADONGWEIZHUYAODONGLI,YIFANGMIANHUIYIZHIBENGUOCHANYELIANXIANDAIHUAHEJIAZHILIANGAODUANHUAFAZHAN,LINGYIFANGMIAN,GUOGAODEWAIMAOYICUNDUYESHIGUONEIJINGJIGAODUYILAIGUOJISHICHANG,YIDANQUANQIUMAOYIHUANJINGEHUAHUOQUXIANGBAOSHOUZHUYI,JIUHUIYINGXIANGHONGGUANJINGJIWENDINGXING。ZHUANXIANGSHUANGXUNHUANXIANGHUCUJINDEXINFAZHANGEJU,BUJINSHIZHONGGUOJINGJIFAZHANDEXUYAO,YETIXIANLEZHONGGUODEDAGUODANDANGHECUJINQUANQIUHUAKECHIXUFAZHANDEYIYUAN。
XUYAOMINGQUEDESHI,GOUJIANGUONEIDAXUNHUANWEIZHUTI、GUONEIGUOJISHUANGXUNHUANXIANGHUCUJINDEXINFAZHANGEJUSHIYIGEZHONGDAZHANLVEDIAOZHENG,BINGFEIDUANQIQUANYIZHIJI,BUKENENGYICUERJIU。SHOUXIAN,XINFAZHANGEJUDEXINGCHENGGUOCHENGYESHIYIGECHANYEJIEGOUDIAOZHENGDEGUOCHENG,CHANYEJIEGOUDIAOZHENGDEYIGEZHONGYAOFANGMIAN,JIUSHITONGGUOHUPUZUQIUYEHEZHIZAOYESHENDURONGHE,FAZHANHUPUZUQIUXINGZHIZAO。HUPUZUQIUZUOWEIZHIZAOYEDETOURUHUOZHEYANSHEN,SHIXIANDAIZHIZAOYEFAZHANDEBIRANQUSHI,DANZHEIYIGUOCHENGXUYAOGENGDUODEZHISHITOURUHEZUZHIMOSHICHUANGXIN。YOUQIZAISHUZIJINGJISHIDAI,YUZHIXIANGGUANDEPINGTAIGOUJIANHESHUJUZHILIDENGWENTIDEJIEJUE,DOUXUYAOYIGEZHIDUYUJISHUDEZHANGQIOUHEGUOCHENG。ZAIZHIZAOYEHEHUPUZUQIUYELIANGYEXIETONG、RONGHEFAZHANDEGUOCHENGZHONG,YOUYUHUPUZUQIUYEDEGUIMOXIAOLVZONGTISHANGDIYUZHIZAOYE,YINCIDUANQINEIJINGJIZENGSUHELAODONGSHENGCHANLVZENGSUBUKENENGXIANGWAIXULADONGHEGONGYEHUAJIASUZENGZHANGSHIQINEIYANGXUNMENG。QICI,XINGCHENGXINFAZHANGEJUDEGUOCHENGYESHIYIGETOUZIJIEGOU、XIAOFEIJIEGOUHEFENPEIJIEGOUBIANHUADEGUOCHENG,DANGQIANYIJICHUSHESHIHUPUZUQIUWEITEZHENGDECAIZHENGQUDONGZENGZHANGMOSHI,ZAIWEIGUOMINJINGJIFAZHANTIGONGLEZHONGYAODEJICHUBAOZHANGTIAOJIANDETONGSHI,YEDAOZHIGONGGONGHUPUZUQIUTOURUXIANGDUIBUZU,JIANJIEZENGJIALEMINJIANCHUXUDEYALI,XUERUOLEJUMINXIAOFEIYIYUAN。YAOJINYIBUTISHENGHEYOUHUAGUONEIDESHENGCHANXINGXUQIUHEXIAOFEIXUQIU,JIXUYAOQIYEXINGCHENGLIANGHAODELIRUNYUQIJINERCUJINMINJIANTOUZIDEZENGZHANG,YEXUYAOJUMINGAIBIANXIAOFEIYUQIJINERTIGAOXIAOFEIYIYUAN,ERQIYEHEJUMINDEYUQIDIAOZHENGBUKENENGZAIDUANQIWANCHENG。ZAICI,XINFAZHANGEJUDEXINGCHENGGUOCHENGYESHIYIGEQUYUXIETONGFAZHANDEGUOCHENG,TONGGUOQUYUJIANFENGONGSHENHUAHEMAOYIFAZHAN,KEYICHANSHENGGENGWEICHIXU、GENGWEIWENDINGDEGUONEIXUNHUAN。DANGQIANZHONGXIBUDIQUWULUNSHISHICHANGHUACHENGDUHAISHICHANYEFAZHANSHUIPING,DOUYUDONGBUDIQUCUNZAIJIAODACHAJU,WULUNSHIJIESHOUCHANYEZHUANYIYUDONGBUDIQUXINGCHENGCHANYENEICHUIZHIFENGONG,HAISHILIYONGXINJISHUGEMINGLANGCHAODEJIYUSHIXIANKUAYUESHIFAZHAN,YUDONGBUDIQUXINGCHENGCHANYENEISHUIPINGFENGONG,JISHUNENGLIDEPEIYUHECHANYEJIQUNDEXINGCHENGDOUXUYAOSHIJIAN,YINCIYESHIYIGEJIAOWEIZHANGQIDEJIANJINGUOCHENG。
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虎扑足球 ZAIGOUJIANXINFAZHANGEJUDEGUOCHENGZHONG,RUHEGENGHAOSHIXIANGUONEIGUOJISHUANGXUNHUANXIANGHUCUJINSHIGUANJIAN。GUONEIDAXUNHUANWEIZHUTIBINGBUSHIYAOBIGUANSUOGUO,ERSHIYAOZAISHISHIGAOSHUIPINGDUIWAIKAIFANGZHONGXINGCHENGGENGJIAWENDING、GENGJIACHANGTONG、GENGDAGUIMO、GENGYOUJIEGOUDEGUONEIXUQIUTIXI,CUJINGUONEIDAXUNHUANDEZHILIANGTIGAO,XINGCHENGGAOSHUIPINGDECHANYELIANHEWENDINGDEGONGYINGLIAN。ZAIQUANMIANTISHENGHUPUZUQIUGUOSHANGPINHEHUPUZUQIUZHILIANG、ZENGQIANGCHUKOUJINGZHENGLIDETONGSHI,YEYAOJIJIZHUDONGKUODAJINKOU,YIFANGMIANKEYIMANZUZIYUANQUEKOU,CUSHIGUONEIQIYEDUIBIAOSHIJIEXIANJINJISHU、BIAOZHUN,JINYIBUTISHENGSHENGCHANXIAOLVCONGERZENGQIANGGUOJIJINGZHENGLI;LINGYIFANGMIAN,KEYITONGGUOZENGJIAGAOZHILIANGSHANGPINHEHUPUZUQIUDEGONGJI,MANZUDUOYANGHUADUOCENGCIDEXIAOFEIXUQIU,MANZUGUONEIXIAOFEISHENGJIDEXUYAO。TONGGUOZHEILIANGFANGMIANDEZUOYONG,BUJINKEYISHIGUONEISHICHANGHEGUOJISHICHANGGENGHAODILIANTONG,CHONGFENWAJUEHESHIFANGZHONGGUODENEIXUQIANLI,YEYOUZHUYUTUIDONGHUPUZUQIUKAIFANGXINGSHIJIEJINGJI,WENDINGHEFANRONGSHIJIEJINGJI。WEICI,BUJINXUYAODATONGGUONEIXUNHUANDE“DUDIAN”,RUWULIUCHENGBEN、DIQUBILEIDENG,YEYAODATONGGUOJIXUNHUANDEZHANGAI,RUYOUHUAYINGSHANGHUANJING、FANGKUANSHICHANGZHUNRUMENJIANDENG。
BIXURENSHIDAO,NENGFOUCHANGTONGGUONEIJINGJIDAXUNHUAN,SHIYINGXIANGDAONENGFOUSHIXIANGAOSHUIPINGDUIWAIKAIFANGYIJIGUONEIGUOJISHUANGXUNHUANNENGFOUXIANGHUCUJINDEGUANJIANSUOZAI。ZAIDANGQIANBAOHUZHUYISHENGXINGDEGUOJIDAHUANJINGXIA,SHICHANGDEDUIDENGKAIFANGRIYICHENGWEIJIBENZHUNZE,TONGCHANGQIEGUIMOJUDADEGUONEISHICHANGSHIHUPUZUQIUGUOZAIGUOJIMAOYIZHONGBOYIDEZHONGYAOCHOUMA。GAOZHILIANGDEGUONEIDAXUNHUANBIRANSHISHENGCHAN、FENPEI、LIUTONGHEXIAOFEIZHUHUANJIECHANGTONGDEXUNHUANTIXI,SHIKANGFENGXIAN、KANGCHONGJINENGLIQIANGDADEXUNHUANTIXI,ZHEISHIGAOSHUIPINGKAIFANGDEANQUANFA。BINGQIE,YIGEJUYOUXIANGDANGGUIMOQIEWENDINGDENEIBUXUQIUTIXIDEJINGJITI,YEBIRANSHIQUANQIUJINGJIWENDINGDEYACANGSHI。
(作者:
杨虎涛,系中国社会科学院习近平新时代中国特色社会主义思想研究中心研究员)